Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. 
Detroit Lions: Odds, Picks, and Predictions for Week 7
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-1) travel to Detroit to take on the Lions (4-2) in a NFC conference matchup on Monday Night Football. The Bucs are coming off a home win against the 49ers, while Lions had a Sunday night road loss against the Chiefs.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Betting Odds
- Bucs +6.0 (BetMGM -110) / Lions -6.0 (FanDuel -110)
- Bucs ML (DraftKings +230) / Lions ML (FanDuel -275)
- Total OVER 52.5 (BetMGM -110) / UNDER 53.5 (DraftKings -112)
- Bucs total points: Over/Under 23.5 (DraftKings -110/-110)
- Lions total points: Over/Under 29.5 (BetRivers -117/-105 )
- First-half spread: Bucs +3.5 (DraftKings +105) / Lions -3.5 (Bet365 -110)
- First-half total: Over 26.5 (Caesars -113) / Under 26.5 (BetRivers +106)
- First-half team total: Bucs Over/Under 10.5 (BetRivers) Lions Over/Under 14.5 (BetRivers)
The Lions opened as 3.5-point home favorites, and it has bounced around the range of -4.5 to -6.0 over the last 2 weeks. The line move towards Detroit is all about the Bucs injuries which are significant at WR, RB, and OL. But the Lions also have their share of injuries in the secondary.
With this being a Monday night game and there is a double header, I have heard this game has been extremely popular in teasers on both sides, with the Lions being teased down and the Bucs being teased up.
The total opened 49.5 and jumped to 52.5 on 10/7. We now get a total that has bounced around from 52.5 - 53.5 over the last week. As I mentioned before, with multiple games on Monday night, you have options for people to parlay and tease sides and totals which is why we are seeing this type of movement.
The majority of the bets (76%) have come in on the Bucs, and the handle is at (72%). This shows that there is no "sharp" action on them.
The total is seeing money on the Under at 61% of total bets, but only 46% of the handle.
The moneyline is on the Lions at 73% of the bets and 76% of the money
Key Injuries
Bucs - WR Emeka Egbuka (Q), OT Luke Haggard (O), LB Lavonte David (Q), WR Chris Godwin (O), RB Bucky Irving (O), WR Mike Evans (Q)
Lions - DT DJ Reader (Q), DT Alim McNeill (O), CB Terrion Arnold (O), RB Sione Vaki (O), S Kerby Joseph (O), OT Taylor Decker (Q), G Miles Frazier (O), CB Avonte Maddox (O), DE Marcus Davenport (O),
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Bucs vs. Lions Betting Picks
It is really hard to think this game does not have offensive fireworks with all of the recent trends and the Lions success at home. The Bucs getting almost a touchdown in this game does feel a bit high, but that is mostly the injuries coming into play. I think the injuries are having about a 2 point impact on the line. Keep an eye on both Evans and Egbuka as their status is critical to the outcome of this game.
BETTING TRENDS
- Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
- The Bucs have gone OVER in 15 out of their last 20 games
- Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- Tampa Bay is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games against Detroit.
- Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games.
- Detroit is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
- The average score in the Lions' last 10 home games has been 38-21
The Lions ranked 2nd in points per game 31.8; the Bucs are 6th at 27.5
Bucs vs. Lions Best Bets
- Lions OVER 29.5 points for 1 unit (BetRivers -117)
- Baker Mayfield OVER 240.5 passing yards for 1 unit (BetRivers -115)
Bucs vs. Lions Predictions
This is a huge must-win game for the Lions at home coming off the road loss to the Chiefs. The Bucs have played incredible football so far this season, but I think their luck runs out in Detroit on Monday night.
