15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/13/2026
2026 Stats
W-L
3-2
ERA
2.70
WHIP
0.95
K
45
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal has now logged more than 450 regular-season innings since putting his August 2022 Tommy John Surgery in the rearview mirror. Simply put, he has been a dominating force on the mound in that time, winning a Cy Young while leading all pitchers (min 450 IP) in ERA, strikeout rate, WHIP, K-BB percentage, opponents' batting average and kissing babies. His postseason efforts were just icing on the cake, even if Detroit could not muster enough offense in his support. He has garnered a win in nearly 50 percent of his starts and a quality start in 62 percent of his outings and has answered the durability concerns, which clouded his future as he came back from surgery in 2023. The only risk for Skubal now is, where does he go from here, literally and figuratively? Skubal is heading into the final year of his contract with Detroit, and the initial $100M contract extension offer was not well received according to the hot stove. There is a chance Skubal could be dealt away from Detroit, resulting in a different home park, but Skubal seems to be at his best against the best, as his 1.90 ERA against teams over .500 in 2025 would reinforce. Skubal has also pitched at an elite statistical level since returning from surgery, and the odds of him taking it to an even higher level are not a strong as the odds of him regressing a bit in 2026 under the spotlight of pending free agency and contract extension talks. Pitchers in the first round are risky, but nobody would blame you for pulling the trigger on Skubal. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $32 million contract with the Tigers in February of 2026.
Could return Saturday
Skubal (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
Skubal struck out six batters in five innings during his rehab start at High-A West Michigan on Sunday, and he said Tuesday that he hasn't had any problems recovering from his appearance. He added that he expects things to go well during his bullpen session Wednesday, and if the Tigers are satisfied with his performance, it could be the final hurdle in his recovery from left elbow surgery. Skubal typically throws a bullpen session three days before he's scheduled to start, so he would be lined up to make his return Saturday against the Guardians in Cleveland.
Skubal struck out six batters in five innings during his rehab start at High-A West Michigan on Sunday, and he said Tuesday that he hasn't had any problems recovering from his appearance. He added that he expects things to go well during his bullpen session Wednesday, and if the Tigers are satisfied with his performance, it could be the final hurdle in his recovery from left elbow surgery. Skubal typically throws a bullpen session three days before he's scheduled to start, so he would be lined up to make his return Saturday against the Guardians in Cleveland.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
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2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-42%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .216 | 86 | 8 | 63 | 3 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .200 | 428 | 66 | 255 | 32 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .333 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .192 | 37 | 5 | 24 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .214 | 45 | 2 | 31 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .196 | 196 | 31 | 110 | 17 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .186 | 33 | 5 | 21 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .204 | 195 | 30 | 121 | 14 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-15%
ERA at Home
2026
-34%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.15 | 0.87 | 218.0 | 10.8 | 1.8 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.54 | 0.95 | 212.2 | 10.7 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2026Home | 3.55 | 0.87 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 1.4 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.35 | 0.98 | 30.2 | 9.7 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.13 | 0.92 | 101.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.30 | 0.86 | 94.0 | 10.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.99 | 0.83 | 104.0 | 10.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 2.86 | 1.03 | 88.0 | 11.4 | 1.2 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
7.50K/9
9.3BB/9
1.2HR/9
0.4Fastball
96.6 mphERA
2.70WHIP
0.95BABIP
.299GB/FB
1.93Left On Base
70.7%Exit Velocity
82.5 mphBarrels/BBE
3.4%Spin Rate
2196 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.5%Swinging Strike
14.5%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Skubal performed at a Cy Young level over 80.1 innings in 2023 following his return from flexor tendon surgery, but many questioned how many innings he would be able to handle in 2024. The southpaw ended up running away with the AL Cy Young Award, shattering all expectations and leading Detroit to its first postseason appearance in a decade. He totaled 192 innings during the regular season -- 42.2 more than his previous career high in 2021 -- and added 19 stellar frames in the playoffs (2.37 ERA, 20:2 K:BB). A power lefty, Skubal can pull the string on a changeup that dances in unexpected ways thanks to a phenomenon now known as seam-shifted wake. He also has a slider to help against same-handed hitters, who combined to slash just .186/.238/.248 against Skubal last season. The Tigers basically took him off the table in discussions at the trade deadline and were justified in doing so, as Skubal is already an ace with the potential to be one of the best starting pitchers in baseball for years to come. If there's anything to nitpick, it might be the modest overall chase rate (77th percentile), but keep in mind his low-whiff sinking fastball is a highly effective offering.
More Fantasy News
Dazzles in rehab start
Skubal (elbow) tossed five scoreless innings Sunday in a rehab start with High-A West Michigan, allowing two hits and no walks while striking out six batters.
Analysis
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Making rehab start Sunday
Skubal (elbow) will make a rehab start with High-A West Michigan on Sunday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Completes four-inning sim game
Skubal (elbow) worked four innings in a simulated game Monday at Tropicana Field, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Next simulated game Monday
Skubal (elbow) will throw another simulated game Monday at Tropicana Field, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Faces hitters Tuesday
Skubal (elbow) threw 39 pitches over 2.2 innings in a simulated game Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Atlanta emerging as contender?
Atlanta could have enough prospects to acquire Skubal via trade before the Aug. 3 deadline, Jeff Passan of ESPN speculates.
Analysis
Atlanta has a ton of pitching to send to Detroit in a potential trade, and adding Skubal to the rotation could make Atlanta the lone team able to compete with the Dodgers in both hitting and pitching. Skubal remains sidelined due to an elbow injury, but teams should start calling the Tigers as soon as Skubal is back on a big-league mound, which could happen at some point in June.
Atlanta has a ton of pitching to send to Detroit in a potential trade, and adding Skubal to the rotation could make Atlanta the lone team able to compete with the Dodgers in both hitting and pitching. Skubal remains sidelined due to an elbow injury, but teams should start calling the Tigers as soon as Skubal is back on a big-league mound, which could happen at some point in June.