Out
                                            Injury Elbow
                                                Est. Return 2/1/2026
                                        2025 Stats
                    W-L
                                9-5
                            ERA
                                4.17
                            WHIP
                                1.30
                            K
                                138
                            SV
                                0
                            Rest-of-Season Projections
                    
                2025 Fantasy Outlook
                
                    Berrios had us worried for awhile, but he ended up with a rather valuable fantasy season considering his surrounding circumstances. Berrios won 50 percent of his starts, which is outstanding considering he played for a last-place team that won 74 games all season. He began the season with a phenomenal April in which he won four of his first seven starts, never allowing more than two earned runs in any of them. He then came back to earth, allowing eight earned runs in his eighth start and then closing the first half by allowing 11 home runs over his final eight outings prior to the All-Star break. Berrios sliced more than a full run off his 4.01 first half ERA by stepping up his strikeout rate nearly five full percentage points and ceased hitting batters as 12 of the 13 batters he hit in 2024 came before the break. The 30-plus homers on the season predestined him to a higher ERA, as only Robbie Ray has pitched to an ERA below 3.50 despite allowing 30 or more homers in recent seasons. Berrios is no longer the strikeout guy he was in his earlier years, but he is fifth in innings worked since 2021, trailing only Nola, Webb, Wheeler and Burnes. We would be asking a lot of Berrios to go out and win another 50 percent of his starts for a team that is likely going to be a non-contender once again, but he hasn't missed a start in eons, and you just cannot buy that type of volume these days. If you take some pitching upside risks early in the draft, Berrios is an excellent volume play to help offset the earlier risks. Read Past Outlooks                
                                        
                                     
                  Potential return ruled out
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Monday that Berrios (elbow) has resumed throwing but will not be on the World Series roster, should his team advance, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
                  Analysis
Berrios' last appearance came Sept. 24 and his last start was Sept. 16, as he's been shelved for nearly a month with right elbow inflammation. While it's good news that he's been cleared to resume a throwing program, the window for him to pitch in games again in 2025 has closed. Barring a setback, Berrios should have a normal offseason.
              Berrios' last appearance came Sept. 24 and his last start was Sept. 16, as he's been shelved for nearly a month with right elbow inflammation. While it's good news that he's been cleared to resume a throwing program, the window for him to pitch in games again in 2025 has closed. Barring a setback, Berrios should have a normal offseason.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
        2025
				2024
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		        Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
        Average Pitch Count
                        83
                    Last 10 Games
                        76
                    Last 5 Games
                        69
                    How many pitches does Jose Berrios generally throw?
                    1-10
                                11-20
                                21-30
                                31-40
                                41-50
                                51-60
                                61-70
                                71-80
                                81-90
                                91-100
                                101-110
                                111-120
                                121+
                                What part of the game does Jose Berrios generally pitch?
                    1st
                            2nd
                            3rd
                            4th
                            5th
                            6th
                            7th
                            8th
                            9th
                            Extra
                            % Games Reaching Innings Threshold
                        
                    % Games By Number of Innings Pitched
                        
                    Left/Right Pitching Splits
                
    Since 2023
                                    -2%
                        BAA vs LHP
                    2025
                                    -5%
                        BAA vs LHP
                    | BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .240 | 260 | 109 | 258 | 42 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .245 | 215 | 53 | 243 | 40 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .247 | 78 | 42 | 81 | 8 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .260 | 60 | 14 | 79 | 18 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .214 | 85 | 36 | 80 | 18 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .259 | 68 | 18 | 88 | 13 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .261 | 97 | 31 | 97 | 16 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .220 | 87 | 21 | 76 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
                
    Since 2023
                                    -6%
                        ERA at Home
                    2025
                                    -20%
                        ERA on Road
                    | ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.67 | 1.20 | 264.2 | 8.0 | 2.7 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.91 | 1.22 | 283.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2025Home | 4.65 | 1.35 | 81.1 | 7.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.72 | 1.25 | 84.2 | 7.1 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.18 | 1.10 | 93.1 | 6.9 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.00 | 1.20 | 99.0 | 7.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.30 | 1.17 | 90.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.97 | 1.20 | 99.2 | 8.2 | 2.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
    
                How does Jose Berrios compare to other starting pitchers?
            
            This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
                
            * Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.46K/9
7.5BB/9
3.0HR/9
1.4Fastball
92.5 mphERA
4.17WHIP
1.30BABIP
.289GB/FB
1.21Left On Base
72.4%Exit Velocity
83.6 mphBarrels/BBE
6.7%Spin Rate
2060 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.8%Swinging Strike
9.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
    
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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        Past Fantasy Outlooks
    
    2024
				2023
				2022
				2021
				2020
				2019
				2018
				2017
				2016
				2015
				2014
				2013
		            Berrios put together an impressive bounce-back campaign, shaving more than a run and a half off his ERA after he finished with the worst ERA among qualified starters in 2022. He bumped his strikeout rate back up to 23.5% -- modest, but a big improvement on the previous year and much more in line with his career norms. Berrios offers up four pitches to opposing hitters -- sinker, slurve, four-seamer, changeup -- and he's willing to challenge within the zone even if he doesn't win every battle. It was nice to see that his struggles in 2022 didn't affect his confidence too much, as his walk rate remained low at 6.6%. We've seen what the downside looks like with Berrios, but he has eight years of starting experience at this point and his track record is that of a viable mid-rotation starter. There may still be a  buy-low window in fantasy as the memory of his disastrous 2022 lingers.
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                                
                        More Fantasy News
     
                  Will not be on ALDS roster
Berrios (elbow) has yet to resume throwing and will not be part of the Blue Jays' ALDS roster, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
                  Analysis
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                  Avoids structural damage
An MRI revealed Berrios (elbow) doesn't have any structural damage, and he will be seeking a second opinion, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports Friday.
                  Analysis
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                  Bound for IL
The Blue Jays placed Berrios on the 15-day injured list Thursday with right elbow inflammation, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
                  Analysis
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                  Relegated to bullpen
Manager John Schneider said Friday that Berrios will be used out of the bullpen going forward, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
                  Analysis
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                  Struggles in no-decision
Berrios did not factor in the decision during Tuesday's win over Tampa Bay. He allowed three runs on four hits and two walks over four innings.
                  Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
     
                  Moving to relief role
Berrios is expected to move into a relief role for the rest of the 2025 season, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
                  Analysis
Berrios has started all but one of his 274 career big-league games, but the veteran starter now looks to be moving to the bullpen. Manager John Schneider told reporters, including Davidi, that Berrios "can still start," but at the same time, "he's kind of an option if we need him on days like today and will be going forward." Berrios owns a 4.06 ERA over 164 innings in 2025.
              Berrios has started all but one of his 274 career big-league games, but the veteran starter now looks to be moving to the bullpen. Manager John Schneider told reporters, including Davidi, that Berrios "can still start," but at the same time, "he's kind of an option if we need him on days like today and will be going forward." Berrios owns a 4.06 ERA over 164 innings in 2025.








 
                                 
                                 
                                