Out
                                            Injury Thumb
                                                Est. Return 2/1/2026
                                        2025 Stats
                    AVG
                                .256
                            HR
                                11
                            RBI
                                32
                            R
                                32
                            SB
                                0
                            Rest-of-Season Projections
                    
                2025 Fantasy Outlook
                
                    Alvarez missed more than seven weeks with a torn UCL in his left hand, suffered while catching his fall after tripping while rounding second base. When healthy, he was the Mets regular backstop, his role again this season. Alvarez will be one of the youngest starting catchers at just 23 years old; his offense is still a work in progress. His 62nd percentile hard-hit rate was down a tick from the previous season but still promising relative to his age. Alvarez's contact rate is below average, but it's improved a tick each of his last two seasons. His patience is above average, boding well for improved quality and quantity of contact. Behind the dish, he's an excellent framer, with a great pop time. All signs point to continued improvement, with more playing time. This is probably the last time he's a borderline option in one-catcher leagues. Alvarez will be a staple sooner than later. Read Past Outlooks                
                                        
                                     
                  Thumb surgery imminent
Alvarez will undergo surgery in the coming days to repair a sprained UCL in his right thumb, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
                  Analysis
Alvarez suffered the injury in late August, but he elected to delay surgery until the offseason and returned to play in early September. The operation could delay Alvarez's offseason workouts a bit, but it should not affect his availability for the beginning of spring training.
              Alvarez suffered the injury in late August, but he elected to delay surgery until the offseason and returned to play in early September. The operation could delay Alvarez's offseason workouts a bit, but it should not affect his availability for the beginning of spring training.
Batting Stats
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		        Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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                                        Left/Right Batting Splits
                
    Since 2023
                                    +1%
                        OPS vs LHP
                    2025
                                    +29%
                        OPS vs LHP
                    | OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .740 | 296 | 14 | 46 | .211 | ||||
| Since 2023vs Right | .732 | 746 | 33 | 96 | .238 | ||||
| 2025vs Left | .950 | 66 | 3 | 9 | .268 | ||||
| 2025vs Right | .738 | 211 | 8 | 23 | .253 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .806 | 82 | 5 | 15 | .239 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .680 | 260 | 6 | 32 | .236 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
| Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
                
    Since 2023
                                    +2%
                        OPS on Road
                    2025
                                    +6%
                        OPS at Home
                    | OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .726 | 505 | 22 | 69 | .222 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | .742 | 537 | 25 | 73 | .239 | ||||
| 2025Home | .811 | 132 | 6 | 17 | .256 | ||||
| 2025Away | .764 | 145 | 5 | 15 | .256 | ||||
| 2024Home | .727 | 166 | 7 | 23 | .221 | ||||
| 2024Away | .694 | 176 | 4 | 24 | .252 | ||||
| 2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
| 2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
    
                How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
            
            This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
                
            * Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.37BB Rate
9.7%K Rate
26.4%BABIP
.321ISO
.191AVG
.256OBP
.339SLG
.447OPS
.787wOBA
.347Exit Velocity
93.1 mphHard Hit Rate
39.3%Barrels/PA
7.6%Expected BA
.237Expected SLG
.444Sprint Speed
22.6 ft/secGround Ball %
49.1%Line Drive %
15.0%Fly Ball %
35.8%Prospect Rankings History
            Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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        Past Fantasy Outlooks
    
    2024
				2023
				2022
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				2020
		            Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average.
                                
                                
                                
                                
                        More Fantasy News
     
                  Back in Friday's lineup at DH
Alvarez (cramps) will start at designated hitter and bat seventh in Friday's game in Miami.
                  Analysis
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                  Battling cramps
Alvarez isn't in the lineup for Thursday's game against the Cubs due to cramps, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
                  Analysis
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                  Taking seat Thursday
Alvarez is absent from the lineup for Thursday's game against the Cubs.
                  Analysis
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                  Swats clutch home run
Alvarez went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer, a walk and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over the Cubs.
                  Analysis
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                  On bench Sunday
Alvarez is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Nationals.
                  Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
     
                  Inching closer to MLB return
Alvarez is working his way back from a thumb injury and is expected to begin a rehab assignment later this month, according to Anthony DiComo of MLB.com.
                  Analysis
Alvarez has recovered quicker than expected, and Mets manager Carlos Mendoza expressed shock when he was sent video of Alvarez already swinging a bat this past Sunday. "When I was looking at it, I was like, 'There's no way this guy is swinging the bat,'" he said. Alvarez is expected to undergo surgery after the season, but if he doesn't suffer a setback during his rehab assignment, he should be ready to return to the majors in the coming weeks, presumably during the first week of September if everything goes well.
              Alvarez has recovered quicker than expected, and Mets manager Carlos Mendoza expressed shock when he was sent video of Alvarez already swinging a bat this past Sunday. "When I was looking at it, I was like, 'There's no way this guy is swinging the bat,'" he said. Alvarez is expected to undergo surgery after the season, but if he doesn't suffer a setback during his rehab assignment, he should be ready to return to the majors in the coming weeks, presumably during the first week of September if everything goes well.









 
                                 
                                 
                                 
                                