2026 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
2.78
WHIP
1.19
K
25
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
In the context of being the first pick of the 2018 draft, Mize has been somewhat disappointing to this point in his career. However, he's also settled in as a fairly steady mid-rotation option at the MLB level, and 2025 was one of his best campaigns to date. The righty posted a 3.87 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 149 innings, and he set a new career high with 139 strikeouts. Mize also set a new career best with 14 wins after coming into the year with only nine career wins across his first four seasons. The 28-year-old may never reach true ace status, with his career 7.47 K/9 capping his upside, but Mize still has some fantasy appeal heading into 2026. He should remain one of Detroit's top starters behind Tarik Skubal, and Mize's solid if not spectacular 2025 campaign gives him something to build on. If he does manage to miss a few more bats, the righty could take a step forward as a fantasy asset, though even a repeat of last year would provide some value. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $6.15 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2026.
Strong again in no-decision
Mize did not factor into the decision in Friday's 1-0 extra-inning loss to the Red Sox, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6.2 scoreless innings.
Analysis
Mize went toe-to-toe with Ranger Suarez, generating 14 swinging strikes on 94 pitches to earn his second quality start of the season. The 28-year-old has now allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts, with the lone exception being a five-run clunker April 6. He'll carry a 2.78 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 25:7 K:BB across 22.2 innings into a home matchup against the Brewers next week.
Mize went toe-to-toe with Ranger Suarez, generating 14 swinging strikes on 94 pitches to earn his second quality start of the season. The 28-year-old has now allowed one earned run or fewer in three of four starts, with the lone exception being a five-run clunker April 6. He'll carry a 2.78 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 25:7 K:BB across 22.2 innings into a home matchup against the Brewers next week.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-65%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .259 | 140 | 36 | 148 | 13 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .286 | 102 | 36 | 146 | 21 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .137 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .394 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .268 | 79 | 18 | 85 | 8 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .258 | 60 | 18 | 68 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .275 | 45 | 16 | 56 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .305 | 33 | 13 | 65 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-8%
ERA at Home
2026
-50%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.84 | 1.25 | 136.0 | 7.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.17 | 1.42 | 138.0 | 8.5 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2026Home | 1.59 | 1.24 | 5.2 | 7.9 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2026Away | 3.18 | 1.18 | 17.0 | 10.6 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.68 | 1.21 | 73.1 | 7.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.04 | 1.32 | 75.2 | 9.4 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.26 | 1.30 | 57.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.76 | 1.68 | 45.1 | 6.4 | 3.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.57K/9
9.9BB/9
2.8HR/9
0.8Fastball
93.4 mphERA
2.78WHIP
1.19BABIP
.316GB/FB
0.84Left On Base
82.6%Exit Velocity
80.6 mphBarrels/BBE
6.3%Spin Rate
2046 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.8%Swinging Strike
12.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Mize has yet to fully live up to his potential as the first pick of the 2018 draft, and injuries have played a big role in slowing him down. The righty missed all of the 2023 campaign due to Tommy John surgery and again spent a chunk of the season on the injured list in 2024. This time around it was a hamstring strain that cost Mize about two months and limited him to 102.1 innings overall. That's actually the second-highest mark of Mize's career, behind the 150.1 innings he logged back in 2021. The 27-year-old has shown flashes of being a strong MLB starter, though he's yet to maintain it over long stretches of time, and he has a middling 4.36 ERA and 1.30 WHIP for his career, along with an uninspiring 6.99 K/9. The Tigers undoubtedly want to see Mize take the next step forward as a staff anchor alongside ace lefty Tarik Skubal, so the former should once again have a rotation spot heading into 2025. However, at some point Mize needs to turn his upside into actual production, and he's hard to trust in fantasy until that happens.
More Fantasy News
Sharp in first win of 2026
Mize (1-1) recorded the win in Saturday's 6-1 victory over the Marlins, allowing one run on six hits and a walk over 5.2 innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Surrenders five runs in loss
Mize (0-1) took the loss Monday, allowing five runs on seven hits and three walks over 4.1 innings against Minnesota. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Punches out nine in quality start
Mize did not factor into the decision Tuesday, striking out nine and allowing one run on four hits and two walks over six innings during a 7-5 loss to the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
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Hit hard Friday
Mize allowed six runs on six hits and four walks across three innings in Friday's Grapefruit League contest against the Pirates. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Avoids arbitration
Mize agreed to a one-year, $6.15 million contract with the Tigers on Thursday, avoiding arbitration, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to be non-tendered
Mize could be non-tendered by the Tigers before Friday's roster deadline, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Analysis
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.
The right-hander is entering his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility and is estimated to make $2 million in 2025, per Spotrac.com. Detroit already declined Mize's $3.1 club option, and it's unclear if the potential salary difference will be enough for the organization to justify tendering him a contract. He made 22 appearances during the 2024 regular season and had a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 78:29 K:BB over 102.1 innings.