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Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2025 Stats
W-L
13-10
ERA
3.42
WHIP
1.04
K
194
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan was on track for the best season of his career with a 3.60 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 115 ERA+ before suffering a Grade 2 teres major strain during a start Aug. 9 that caused him to miss the rest of the season. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (93.9 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 27.3 K% and 13.1% swinging-strike rate. Meanwhile, his off-speed pitches graded below average. His real weakness is as a flyball pitcher (35.7 GB%), he can be prone to the long ball. However, he improved last season with 1.27 HR/9 from 1.78 HR/9 in 2023. Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Minnesota rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park, improve his off-speed repertoire and stay healthy (he also struggled late in 2023 after missing time with a groin injury). Read Past Outlooks
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RANKS
Rest of Season
#Subscriber-Only
Overall Rank
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
From Preseason
#112
ADP
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man Yes
Height 6'2"
Weight 205
DOB 6/5/1996
Born San Francisco, CA
College Cal State-Stanislaus
Drafted 7th Rd 2018 TB
Signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Strikes out nine in loss
PMinnesota Twins
September 26, 2025
Ryan (13-10) took the loss against the Phillies on Friday, allowing two runs on five hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over five innings.
Analysis
Ryan threw 59 of 90 pitches for strikes and generated 14 whiffs, but he was outdueled by Aaron Nola. The 29-year-old was uneven down the stretch, giving up five or more runs in four of his final seven outings while holding opponents to two earned runs or fewer in the other three. He'll still close the campaign with a career-best 3.47 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 194:39 K:BB across 171 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Joe Ryan generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ryan generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .224 926 225 52 192 39 4 34
Since 2023vs Right .232 973 313 44 211 47 3 43
2025vs Left .241 356 84 21 79 20 0 16
2025vs Right .193 333 110 18 59 12 0 10
2024vs Left .203 255 61 11 49 8 3 9
2024vs Right .229 283 86 12 61 16 3 10
2023vs Left .222 315 80 20 64 11 1 9
2023vs Right .269 357 117 14 91 19 0 23
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 3.73 1.04 234.1 19 12 0 10.9 1.8 1.3
Since 2023Away 3.97 1.09 233.1 12 15 0 9.8 1.9 1.6
2025Home 3.48 1.07 85.1 7 5 0 10.9 2.2 1.4
2025Away 3.36 1.00 85.2 6 5 0 9.6 1.9 1.4
2024Home 3.92 0.96 66.2 5 3 0 9.6 1.4 1.4
2024Away 3.29 1.01 68.1 2 4 0 10.0 1.7 1.2
2023Home 3.83 1.08 82.1 7 4 0 12.1 1.6 1.3
2023Away 5.22 1.26 79.1 4 6 0 9.8 2.2 2.3
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ryan compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.97
 
K/9
10.2
 
BB/9
2.1
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
93.6 mph
 
ERA
3.42
 
WHIP
1.04
 
BABIP
.280
 
GB/FB
0.86
 
Left On Base
76.8%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
2312 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.3%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
View Complete Joe Ryan Prospect Ranking History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Twins Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Ryan had a roller-coaster season for the Twins as he had a 2.98 ERA with a 9.65 K/9 and 0.91 WHIP through his first 15 starts of the season. He then seemingly ran out of gas by posting a 8.63 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over this next seven starts before he went on the injured list with a strained groin. His final eight starts after he returned were not much better (5.90 ERA) and the Twins limited him to one short two-inning start in the playoffs. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (92.3 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 29.3% K% and 14.2% swinging strike rate. His weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (31.6% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. Home runs were especially an issue last season with a career-worst 1.78 HR/9 driven by a high 14.9% HB/FB%. He usually limits the damage for home runs by typically having one of the lowest walk rates in baseball (5.1% BB%). Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park and improve one of his off-speed pitches, which all took a step backward last year.
Ryan showed his late season 2021 callup promise was not fluke as he had a strong rookie season with 13 wins and 3.55 ERA. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (91.5 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an above-average 9.2 K/9 and 12% swinging strike rate. As a fly-ball pitcher (27.7% GB%), home runs can be a worry (1.2 HR/9), but he limits the damage with a plus walk rate (2.88 BB/9). He missed three weeks with Covid-19 in late May/early June, but was otherwise healthy. He should provide a steady productive presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation.
As a minor-leaguer, Ryan had always logged very impressive statistics (career 2.67 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) thanks to an extremely deceptive 91-mph fourseam fastball he leaned on heavily (over 60% usage). The Rays opted to cash him out before he ever pitched in the majors, along with pitching prospect Drew Strotman, for 10 weeks of Nelson Cruz. The early returns suggest the Twins landed a long-term rotation anchor. He struck out more than five in only one of his five starts (11 K's against a very weak Cubs lineup), but Ryan was stingy with baserunners (13 in 22 IP) prior to a blowup outing in his final start of the year against the Tigers. There are dozens of pitching prospects with more exciting repertoires, but given the fact that Ryan has good command and is locked into a big-league rotation spot, he is arguably more valuable than all but a handful of pitchers who have yet to make their big-league debuts. The 25-year-old righty threw 92.2 innings last season, so look for him to be limited to around 150 frames this year.
A seventh-round pick in 2018, Ryan didn't get a chance to follow up on his breakout 2019 with another strong statistical season, but he might have been better served getting major-league instruction at the Rays' alternate training site. The 24-year-old right-hander has a plus fastball, strong command and a looping delivery that hitters have a hard time picking up, a package that was enough to dominate hitters in the low minors, but any hope of a future in the rotation would likely require a dramatic expansion of his arsenal. Working with better coaching last year might have helped unlock his embryonic curve, slider and changeup, however. Ryan might make his major-league debut in 2021 if he baffles Triple-A hitters the way he did A-ball opposition, but the repertoire he showed in 2019 could lead to early struggles.
Ryan led all qualified minor-league pitchers in FIP (1.91) and K-BB% (32.4) and finished second in strikeouts (183). Unfortunately, we can't point to a bevy of plus pitches and say that this breakout pitcher has frontline upside. He has one dominant pitch that he threw 75% of the time -- a 70-grade mid-90s fastball -- that is aided by a deceptive delivery and good command. His secondary pitches are so underdeveloped that we can't even say with confidence which offspeed pitches will be a part of his arsenal when he gets to the majors. Ryan's changeup probably has the most potential, but it is still in its nascent stages. He has tried several breaking balls, with his curveball showing the most potential. Ryan will return to Double-A and should reach Triple-A, but as a one-pitch flyball pitcher, his minor-league numbers greatly oversell his readiness to have success in a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Mauled by Guardians
PMinnesota Twins
September 21, 2025
Ryan (13-9) took the loss in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader sweep at the hands of the Guardians, giving up five runs (four earned) on six hits -- including four home runs -- and two walks over five innings. He struck out five.
Analysis
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Chased early in loss
PMinnesota Twins
September 6, 2025
Ryan (13-8) took the loss against the Royals on Saturday, allowing five runs on four hits and four walks with two strikeouts over two innings.
Analysis
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Rebounds to blank Padres
PMinnesota Twins
August 31, 2025
Ryan (13-7) earned the win Sunday over San Diego, allowing five hits and a walk across seven scoreless innings. He struck out eight.
Analysis
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Clobbered in Toronto
PMinnesota Twins
August 25, 2025
Ryan (12-7) took the loss Monday against the Blue Jays, conceding six runs on seven hits and a walk over five innings with seven strikeouts.
Analysis
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Handed loss in short outing
PMinnesota Twins
August 19, 2025
Ryan (12-6) allowed five runs (two earned) on six hits and a walk over four innings Tuesday, striking out six and taking a loss against the Athletics.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Trade to Boston wasn't close
PMinnesota Twins
August 8, 2025
According to Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com, the Red Sox were "not even close" to acquiring Ryan from the Twins at the trade deadline last week.
Analysis
Minnesota had a fire sale at the deadline, but Ryan was one of the few Twins whose name surfaced in trade rumors that didn't end up being dealt. The right-hander is in the midst of the best year of his career with a 2.83 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 141:25 K:BB across 127.1 innings and is under team control through 2027, so the Twins were understandably in no rush to trade their ace.
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