2025 Stats
W-L
8-11
ERA
5.30
WHIP
1.39
K
131
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elder made just 10 big-league starts in 2024 due to a bloated 6.52 ERA, and he wasn't much better over 28 starts last season with a 5.30 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 131:51 K:BB across 156.1 innings. However, the right-hander did close the campaign on a high note with a 2.82 ERA in his last seven outings. A 4.67 xERA and 4.54 FIP indicate he may have deserved some better results, but there's still a lot to be desired with a career 18.9 percent strikeout rate. Elder excels at keeping the ball on the ground but has also struggled with the long ball, as evidenced by a 1.4 HR/9 the past two seasons. He could be a bounce-back candidate in 2026 based on the strong finish, but Elder isn't guaranteed to receive significant run in Atlanta's rotation and has poor strikeout potential, limiting any upside. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2025.
Impressive against Detroit
Elder gave up three hits over three scoreless innings in Monday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers. He struck out one without walking a batter.
Analysis
The right-hander tossed 24 of 41 pitches for strikes before turning the ball over to Joey Wentz, who also blanked Detroit over three innings. Elder and Wentz are nominally battling for Atlanta's fifth starter job, but a busy early-season schedule will likely mean the competition extends past Opening Day as the team runs with a six-man rotation for the first couple weeks. Elder has allowed one run through five innings over his first two spring appearances with a 4:0 K:BB.
The right-hander tossed 24 of 41 pitches for strikes before turning the ball over to Joey Wentz, who also blanked Detroit over three innings. Elder and Wentz are nominally battling for Atlanta's fifth starter job, but a busy early-season schedule will likely mean the competition extends past Opening Day as the team runs with a six-man rotation for the first couple weeks. Elder has allowed one run through five innings over his first two spring appearances with a 4:0 K:BB.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-21%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .254 | 141 | 79 | 188 | 25 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .276 | 164 | 52 | 203 | 26 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .239 | 67 | 32 | 71 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .301 | 64 | 19 | 96 | 14 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .336 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 5 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .283 | 27 | 6 | 28 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .241 | 55 | 36 | 81 | 10 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .248 | 73 | 27 | 79 | 9 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-20%
ERA on Road
2025
-38%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 5.30 | 1.51 | 195.1 | 7.2 | 3.6 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.22 | 1.22 | 185.1 | 7.2 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2025Home | 6.55 | 1.71 | 77.0 | 7.0 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.08 | 1.08 | 79.1 | 8.1 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 7.99 | 1.99 | 23.2 | 9.1 | 3.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 5.19 | 1.31 | 26.0 | 7.6 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.61 | 1.23 | 94.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.05 | 1.34 | 80.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.57K/9
7.5BB/9
2.9HR/9
1.4Fastball
91.8 mphERA
5.30WHIP
1.39BABIP
.316GB/FB
1.74Left On Base
66.7%Exit Velocity
83.1 mphBarrels/BBE
4.6%Spin Rate
2266 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.0%Swinging Strike
9.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
Elder reeked of pitchability in 2023 as he came out of nowhere to provide Atlanta with some much-needed innings and out-pitched his stuff. In 2024, he simply reeked. Elder is normally a high ground-ball rate pitcher, but he left too many balls up, and the league hit eight homers off him in 49.2 innings of work, which pushed his ERA up and pushed him up the road on I-85 to Gwinnett to work most of the season. Elder pitched better in Triple-A but will be coming to camp competing with multiple names who have better stuff. Since Elder's fastball is a poor pitch by both velocity and stuff measures, his success is wholly contingent upon his ability to keep the ball on the ground and to stay out of fastball counts. He showed that is possible in 2023 when he was at his best, but 2024 also reminded us how fine a line pitchers of this build must walk. NL Only leaguers should keep an eye on Elder for the depth purposes and spot starts, but not fill out a rotation with him as he is unlikely to work a big load this season with Atlanta.
More Fantasy News
Maintaining velo increase
Elder averaged 93.3 mph with his four-seam fastball during his spring debut Wednesday, maintaining the velocity gains he flashed at the end of last season, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Could be part of six-man rotation
Elder appears likely to get a start or two early in the season with Atlanta playing 13 consecutive days to begin its schedule, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Fighting for rotation spot
Elder could begin the season as Atlanta's No. 5 starter with Spencer Schwellenbach (elbow) on the 60-day IL, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Goes seven innings in loss
Elder (8-11) took the loss Wednesday against the Nationals, allowing three runs on six hits over seven innings. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Sharp in eighth win
Elder (8-10) picked up the win Friday, allowing one run on five hits over seven innings in a 10-1 rout of the Tigers. He struck out six without walking a batter.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to earn rotation role
Elder is likely to earn a spot in Atlanta's rotation in the early stages of the 2026 season, according to Mark Bowman of MLB.com.
Analysis
Elder and Joey Wentz are reportedly competing for the fifth starter role, but there's a scenario in which both players open the season in the rotation. With Atlanta playing 13 straight games to open the campaign, the team could opt to open the 2026 season with a six-man rotation, allowing both Elder and Wentz to be starters in the early stages of the schedule. Elder made 28 starts for Atlanta in the 2025 regular season and delivered a 5.30 ERA.
Elder and Joey Wentz are reportedly competing for the fifth starter role, but there's a scenario in which both players open the season in the rotation. With Atlanta playing 13 straight games to open the campaign, the team could opt to open the 2026 season with a six-man rotation, allowing both Elder and Wentz to be starters in the early stages of the schedule. Elder made 28 starts for Atlanta in the 2025 regular season and delivered a 5.30 ERA.