Out
Injury Biceps
Est. Return 2/1/2026
2025 Stats
W-L
7-7
ERA
4.45
WHIP
1.28
K
81
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $2.22 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2025. Traded to the Royals in July of 2025.
Kicking off rehab assignment
Falter (biceps) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Omaha on Thursday.
Analysis
It will be his first game appearance since he landed on the 15-day injured list with a left biceps contusion in late August. Falter had been demoted to the Royals' bullpen before getting hurt, and if he does make it back before the end of the season, it could be in a low-leverage relief role.
It will be his first game appearance since he landed on the 15-day injured list with a left biceps contusion in late August. Falter had been demoted to the Royals' bullpen before getting hurt, and if he does make it back before the end of the season, it could be in a low-leverage relief role.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
67
Last 5 Games
65
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-10%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .293 | 52 | 16 | 89 | 13 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .254 | 186 | 95 | 258 | 40 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .269 | 21 | 7 | 32 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .241 | 60 | 39 | 83 | 15 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .277 | 19 | 6 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .255 | 78 | 39 | 105 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .364 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .269 | 48 | 17 | 70 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-25%
ERA at Home
2025
-34%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.03 | 1.19 | 183.1 | 6.6 | 2.6 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.35 | 1.45 | 165.0 | 5.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.62 | 1.15 | 69.2 | 5.9 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.50 | 1.46 | 55.2 | 5.7 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.98 | 1.25 | 74.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.92 | 1.33 | 67.2 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.85 | 1.18 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.83 | 1.63 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.76K/9
5.8BB/9
3.3HR/9
1.4Fastball
92.2 mphERA
4.45WHIP
1.28BABIP
.261GB/FB
0.90Left On Base
69.2%Exit Velocity
84.5 mphBarrels/BBE
6.8%Spin Rate
2001 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.4%Swinging Strike
7.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
More Fantasy News
Steps back on mound
Falter (biceps) completed a bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Hits IL with biceps contusion
The Royals placed Falter on the 15-day injured list Saturday due to a left biceps contusion.
Analysis
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Roughed up out of bullpen
Falter (7-7) took the loss Friday against Detroit, allowing four runs on six hits and a walk while striking out two over two innings.
Analysis
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Moved to bullpen
Royals manager Matt Quatraro said Wednesday that Falter will move to the bullpen, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Lasts four frames in no-decision
Falter did not factor into the decision in Monday's 7-4 victory over Washington. He allowed two runs on three hits and three walks in four innings with five strikeouts.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Non-tender candidate for PIT
According to Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Falter was a candidate to be non-tendered after the season by the Pirates before being traded to the Royals last week.
Analysis
The left-hander had a 3.73 ERA in 22 starts for Pittsburgh this season, but the organization viewed him as expendable heading into his second year of arbitration eligibility in 2026. Falter was tagged for seven earned runs in his debut for Kansas City, and his fantasy upside is limited even when pitching well due to his 5.5 K/9.
The left-hander had a 3.73 ERA in 22 starts for Pittsburgh this season, but the organization viewed him as expendable heading into his second year of arbitration eligibility in 2026. Falter was tagged for seven earned runs in his debut for Kansas City, and his fantasy upside is limited even when pitching well due to his 5.5 K/9.